Fantasy Booms, Busts and Sleepers
Updated: Aug 4, 2020
Adam, Craig, Joe and Tim this week look at the Top 5 players in each position on the podcast this week. We also chose a Boom, Bust and Sleeper for each skill position. There was quite a bit of disagreement which is why some players are both booms and busts! We apologise to all the Kickers and defences out there. We still love you. Let us know what you think about our rankings. The numbers after each player are the points total last season.
Top 5 QB’s - Adam 1. Mahomes (Chiefs) 291
Mahomes still has the same offensive weapons he had last year except for Damien Williams who has opted out of the season. Rather serendipitous they drafted Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the first round of the draft. Very reliable, a threat with his legs.
2. Lamar Jackson (Ravens) 421
Lamar was by far the best fantasy QB last season. He still has a strong cast around him and a easy strength of schedule.
3. Kyler Murray (Cardinals) 297
Offensive rookie of the year only added Deandre Hopkins to an already potent offence.
4. Brady (Patriots Buccaneers) 271
Offensive weapons and o line, pretty good in the past, not had a team like this for a while, too old?
5. Rayne Dakota Prescott (Cowboys) 348
This should be a great season for Dak, Cee Dee Lamb added to an already impressive list of weapons.
Boom - Kyler Murray (Cardinals) 297
Murray had a strong rookie season after the Cardinals made him the No. 1 pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, and he's the most popular breakout candidate for 2020. The primary reason for the optimism comes from the Cardinals acquiring elite wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins from the Houston Texans via trade in March. Hopkins is a top-three wideout in the league and gives Murray a reliable target everywhere on the field. Murray also is a threat to score fantasy points with his legs, and he tallied 544 yards and four touchdowns on the ground as a rookie. His dual-threat skill set could make him a top 10 fantasy QB next season.
Bust - Aaron Rodgers (Packers) 282
Matt LaFleur has changed the way the Packers play quite considerably since he took over at the beginning of last season. Rodgers went from 40 throwing attempts per game in 2018 (2nd in the NFL) to 35.5 in 2019 (17th in the NFL). People associate Rodgers with his big arm and fantastic accuracy, however with the clear drop in opportunity, he won't be scoring as many point this year. The Packers also failed to add to his limited arsenal of weapons in the off-season.
Sleeper - Derek Carr (Raiders) 252
He is projected as the 31st fantasy QB by some people is ridiculous.Carr finished last year QB17 averaging 16 points per game which is only 2ppg lower than fantasy darlings Kyler Murray and Josh Allen. If you look at the weapons he had last year and compare them to this year he will be much better, Henry Ruggs, a healthy Tyrell Williams and JJ in the passing game will add more than 2ppg to his total.Carr is undervalued and this year he will shine.
Top 5 RBs - Tim
1. Christian McCafferty (Panthers) 469
The unquestionable No1 fantasy running back in the NFL.He scored nearly 10 points per game more than the next RB No real competition for touches at RB, arguably a better situation at QB with Teddy Bridgewater rather than Kyle Allen.
2. Saquon Barkley (Giants) 244
Rushing 217/1003/6 (missed 3 games)
Barkley had a good year despite being injured for a large part of the season. He has a large role as a pass catcher which increases his value.
3. Ezkiel Elliott (Cowboys) 315
Elliott and Barkley are very similar fantasy wise. Both have a role in the passing game. Dallas does have a lot of mouths to feed in the passing game,
4. Alvin Kamara (Saints) 250
Rushing 171/797/5 (missed 2 games)
Missing 2 games with injury and his fantasy production last season wasn’t what people expected.
5. Joe Mixon (225)
Joe Mixon has the advantage of the addition of Joe Burrow and the return of last year's NO1 draft pick Jonah Williams, He was good on a poor Bengals team, could be even better this year.
Boom - Leveon Bell
Bust - Christian McCafferty
2392 scrimmage yards last year, but not easy to maintain when they have signed a move the chains qb and not invested much into the offense.
Sleeper - Justin Jackson
Projected round: 10-11
Projected stats: 480 rushing yards, three rushing TDs, 185 receiving yards, one receiving TD
Melvin Gordon is gone, which means it's Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson's backfield now. Fourth-round pick Joshua Kelly is in the mix as well, but Ekeler and Jackson should get the bulk of the work. While there's a chance Kelly overtakes Jackson at some point, right now Jackson is the guy to draft. Expect Ekeler to be one of the most valuable players in fantasy for 2020, just as he was in 2019. However, Jackson could step up to be a valuable No. 2 just as Ekeler was for Gordon. The key will be staying healthy, something he was unable to do a season ago.
Top 5 WR’s - Craig
1. Michael Thomas, NO, (375)
Thomas has been a top 6 fantasy WR in each of the last four years. The easy overall WR1.
2. Davante Adams, GB, (212)
Bye 5: Lack of additions at WR in the off-season keeps Adams as the Packers target hog.
3. Julio Jones, ATL, (275):
Only injury can keep Julio outside of a WR1 finish.
4. Tyreek Hill, KC, (188)
Limited to 12 games, Hill finished as the PPR WR10
5. DeAndre Hopkins, AZ (269),
ARI: Change of uniform shouldn't keep Hopkins from fourth-straight WR1 season.
Boom - DeVante Parker - Dolphins
The 27 year old is hitting his peak stat wise, and has just been given Tua, which should be enough to push him over the top in a division that has just opened up. He tore some teams, Eagles included a new one, and he chats shit at Michael Thomas so I like this.
Bust - Amari Cooper (Cowboys) 246
Cooper is goin+g to suffer because of the competition for touches with Zele Elliott, Michael Gallup, Cee Dee Lamb and even Blake Jarwin. Cooper has a tendency to disappear from games , its feast or famine with him. He has 46 drops in his career so far.
Sleeper - Justin Jefferson
Top 5 TE’s - Joe
1. Kelce (Chiefs)254
Most receiving yards for the chiefs, Mahomes favourite target, going to do it again.
2. Kittle (49ers)222
Most Receiving yards for 49ers, Jimmy G throws shorter, beast (Saints last year).
3. Andrews (Ravens)207
Breakout season last year, 10 td’s, average of 13.3 yards per reception, Teams going to be concentrated on the Lamar running game so he may throw the ball a little more
4. Ertz (Eagles)215
Zach Ertz is a class act, most receiving yards for eagles last year, may be slowly regressing but still one of the best in the league
5. Waller (Raiders)221
Had a really good year, most receiving yards for raiders, Carr likes the short pass, threat of Ruggs being a fast deep receiver may take attention away from him.
Boom - Mike Gesicki, Browns(136)
Last year was QB12 but came on late in the season. This year especially if Tua starts for Dolphins Gesicki will have a breakout season.
Bust - Austin Hooper, Browns
2019 stats: 75 receptions, 787 receiving yards, six TDs
Sorry, but there's no way Hooper is seeing 97 targets (his 2019 total with Atlanta) in a Browns offense that includes target hoarders Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Hooper even has competition at his own position in fourth-year tight end David Njoku. Hooper was the sixth-best tight end in fantasy last season, but we're not taking him any earlier than No. 10 unless Cleveland makes additional moves.
Sleeper - Trey Burton (Colts).
Burtons best year came as a backup behind Ertz in a Frank Reich Offense. He is now behind a slower, and generally less good TE Jack Doyle (shout out for him being a great TE2 a couple years back). I see Burton being used correctly again, and pulling out some serious yards behind that terrifying O line as the box will be focused on the two headed Mack/Taylor monster.